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Taking risks in order to generate earnings is the core function of the Deutsche Postbank Group’s business activities. One of the Deutsche Postbank Group’s core competencies is to assume normal banking risks within a strictly defined framework, whilst at the same time maximising the potential return arising from them. In the process, each of the relevant risks is thoroughly identified, continuously measured and monitored as well as regularly reported. To this end, the Deutsche Postbank Group has established a risk management organisation as the basis for risk- and earnings-based overall bank management.

In accordance with the requirements of MaRisk (Minimum Requirements for Risk Management), the risk strategy is consistent with the business strategy and takes into account all significant areas of business and types of risk. In addition to an overarching, group-wide risk strategy, Postbank’s Management Board has resolved specific risk strategies for market, credit, liquidity and operational risk.

The nature and extent of the risks taken, as well as the strategy for managing such risks, depends on the individual business units, whose actions are prescribed by the business strategy. The Deutsche Postbank Group is active in the Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Transaction Banking and Financial Markets areas.

Operational responsibility for risk management is spread across several units in the Deutsche Postbank Group, primarily the Financial Markets board department, Domestic/Foreign Credit Management and the credit functions of the private customer business and, at a decentralised level, the subsidiaries BHW Bausparkasse AG, BHW Bank AG, Deutsche Postbank International S.A. and PB Capital Corp, as well as the London branch.

Risk Controlling, part of the Finance board department, is the independent, group-wide risk monitoring unit. Risk Controlling is authorised to make decisions regarding the methods and models applied in risk identification, measurement and limitation. In co-operation with the risk control units at the BHW Bausparkasse AG, BHW Bank AG, Deutsche Postbank International S.A. and PB Capital Corp. subsidiaries and the London branch, the department is responsible for operational risk control and reporting at group level.

The Internal Audit unit is a key element of the Deutsche Postbank Group’s business and process-independent monitoring system. In terms of the Bank’s organisational structure, it is assigned to the Chairman of the Management Board and reports independently to the Group Management Board. The Postbank Group Management Board is responsible for risk strategy, the appropriate organisation of risk management, monitoring the risk content of all transactions and risk control. In conjunction with the Risk Committees, the Group Management Board has defined the underlying strategies for activities on the financial markets and the other business sectors of the group.

Definition of risk types

The Deutsche Postbank Group distinguishes between the following risk types:

  • Market risk: Potential losses from financial transactions liable to incur from changes in interest rates, spreads, volatility, foreign exchange rates and equity prices.
  • Credit risk: Potential losses that may be caused by changes in the creditworthiness of or default by a counterparty (for example as a result of insolvency). Four types of credit risk are distinguished:
  • Default risk (credit risk): Risk of potential losses caused by a deterioration in the credit rating of or default by a counterparty.
  • Settlement risk: Risk of possible losses during the settlement or netting of transactions.
  • Counterparty risk: The risk of possible losses arising from potential default by a counterparty, and hence the risk to unrealised profits on executory contracts (replacement risk).
  • Country risk: The risk of possible losses arising from political or social upheaval, nationalisation and expropriation, a government’s non-recognition of foreign debts, currency controls and devaluation or depreciation of a national currency (transfer risk).
  • Liquidity risk: The risk that current and future payment obligations cannot be met, either in the full amount or as they fall due. Liquidity maturity transformation risk describes the risk of a loss occurring due to a change in the Bank’s own refinancing curve (spread risk) resulting from an imbalance in the liquidity maturity structure within a given period for a certain confidence level.
  • Operational risk: The risk of losses resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes and systems, people or external events. The definition also encompasses legal risks.
  • Investment risk: Investment risk comprises possible losses arising from fluctuations in the fair value of equity investments, unless they are already included in other risk types.
  • Real estate risk: Real estate risk relates to the real estate owned by Deutsche Postbank Group and comprises the risk of losses of rental income, write-downs to the going-concern value and losses on sale.
  • Collective risk: Specific business risk arising from BHW Bausparkasse AG’s home savings business. This is defined as the negative impact of (non-interest-related) deviations in the actual behaviour of home savings customers from their forecast behaviour.
  • Business risks: The risk of declining earnings arising from unexpected changes in the business volume and/or margins and corresponding costs. This notion also comprises model risks arising from modelling customer products with unknown capital and interest commitments (in particular savings and current account products) as well as strategic and the reputational risk.

Presentation of risk position

The importance of risk control has further increased against the background of continuously volatile capital markets due to the crisis on the financial markets, low interest rates as against previous years and continued intense competition in the markets for deposits and loans, with consequent pressure on interest margins. An additional factor is the insolvency trend in the economy as a whole. In financial year 2007, the Deutsche Postbank Group further sophisticated the structures, instruments and processes for risk management and controlling for the relevant risk types and has state-of-the-art tools for overall bank management. BHW, which was acquired in 2006, has now also been fully integrated in the risk control processes. As a result, the Deutsche Postbank Group is in a position to meet the challenges it faces in the market, and to manage and limit all types of risk across all business units in a way that minimises risk whilst maximising earnings. The methods and procedures employed meet the current statutory and regulatory requirements.

The risks arising from the structured credit portfolio of Deutsche Postbank Group are systematically and intensively analysed and closely monitored within the scope of an internal project structure. Where impairment testing resulted in impairments likely to be permanent, the appropriate impairment losses were recognised.

With respect to other risk not related to structured loans, Postbank maintained the relatively low risk profile of its credit business during 2007, having comparatively low risk costs. Amongst other things, the increasing credit risks in the retail segment in Germany were countered by a restrictive scoring-based lending policy as well as by more efficient and faster workout processes for loans in default. The additions to the allowance for losses on loans and advances mainly result from the planned expansion of the retail business in financial year 2007. In return, the allowance recognised in previous periods could be reversed due to the positive economic environment. The net addition was therefore significantly reduced. The Deutsche Postbank Group will continue to pursue its risk-sensitive business policy in the future.

With regard to the allocation of risk capital, the Postbank Group has been, and continues to be able to allow the business units sufficient scope to achieve business growth in line with its strategy. Should the turbulences triggered by the US real estate market intensify notably and spill over into the real economy, an additional financial burden cannot be excluded. No risks that could impair the Deutsche Postbank Group’s development or even jeopardise its continued existence have been identified amongst the above-mentioned risk types.

Derivative financial instruments

The Deutsche Postbank Group uses derivatives for hedging purposes as part of its asset/liability management policy. Derivatives are also used for trading. Foreign currency derivatives are mainly used in the form of currency forwards, currency swaps, cross-currency swaps and currency options. Interest rate derivatives mainly consist of interest rate swaps, forward rate agreements, interest futures and interest options; in isolated cases, forward transactions in fixed-interest securities were conducted. Equity derivative contracts are signed in particular in the form of stock options and equity/index futures. Only a few credit derivatives (credit default swaps) were entered into. Credit derivatives (credit default swaps) are basically the result of derivatives separated from synthetic CDOs. The notional amounts represent the gross volume of all sales and purchases. The notional amount is a reference value for determining reciprocally agreed settlement payments; it does not represent recognisable receivables or liabilities. The fair values of the individual contracts were calculated using recognised valuation models and do not reflect any netting agreements. The derivatives portfolio is classified by economic purpose as follows:

Derivative financial instruments

€m

 

Notional amounts

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

 

2006

 

2007

 

2006

 

2007

 

2006

 

2007

Trading derivatives

 

438,244

 

518,853

 

3,289

 

5,427

 

3,616

 

5,593

Hedging derivatives

 

43,568

 

34,052

 

485

 

421

 

958

 

873

Total

 

481,812

 

552,905

 

3,774

 

5,848

 

4,574

 

6,466

The following table presents the open interest rate and foreign currency forward transactions and option contracts of the Deutsche Postbank Group at the balance sheet date.

Forward transactions and option contracts of Deutsche Postbank Group

€m

 

2006
Fair value

 

2007
Fair value

 

 

Notional amount

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

Notional amount

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTC products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency forwards

 

4,115

 

36

 

22

 

2,273

 

35

 

50

Currency swaps

 

17,767

 

152

 

129

 

22,518

 

202

 

270

Total portfolio of
currency derivatives

 

21,882

 

188

 

151

 

24,791

 

237

 

320

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTC products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate swaps

 

398,821

 

3,068

 

3,436

 

469,220

 

5,142

 

5,046

Cross-currency swaps

 

55

 

2

 

 

146

 

4

 

5

FRAs

 

2,632

 

9

 

1

 

5,723

 

 

2

OTC interest rate options

 

645

 

 

1

 

673

 

1

 

1

Other interest-related contracts

 

479

 

1

 

1

 

871

 

3

 

2

Exchange-traded products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest-rate futures

 

4,131

 

 

 

9,893

 

 

Interest-rate options

 

7,996

 

1

 

 

490

 

1

 

Total portfolio of
interest-rate derivatives

 

414,759

 

3,081

 

3,439

 

487,016

 

5,151

 

5,056

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity/index derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTC products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity options (long/short)

 

165

 

13

 

19

 

453

 

10

 

66

Exchange-traded products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity/index futures

 

8

 

 

2

 

117

 

 

Equity/index options

 

83

 

1

 

1

 

259

 

2

 

1

Total portfolio of
equity/index derivatives

 

256

 

14

 

22

 

829

 

12

 

67

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit default swaps

 

1,347

 

6

 

4

 

6,217

 

27

 

150

Total portfolio of credit derivatives

 

1,347

 

6

 

4

 

6,217

 

27

 

150

Total portfolio of
derivatives held for trading

 

438,244

 

3,289

 

3,616

 

518,853

 

5,427

 

5,593

of which banking book derivatives

 

22,214

 

276

 

351

 

15,416

 

131

 

330

of which derivatives in connection with underlyings relating to the fair value option

 

8,097

 

71

 

401

 

12,767

 

141

 

308

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedging derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value hedges

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate swaps

 

41,423

 

482

 

733

 

32,560

 

410

 

621

Cross-currency swaps

 

1,796

 

3

 

222

 

1,338

 

10

 

252

Credit default swaps

 

349

 

 

3

 

154

 

1

 

Total portfolio of
hedging derivatives

 

43,568

 

485

 

958

 

34,052

 

421

 

873

Total portfolio of derivatives

 

481,812

 

3,774

 

4,574

 

552,905

 

5,848

 

6,466

The following table provides an overview of the recognised derivative assets and liabilities, structured by remaining maturity:

Remaining maturities

€m

 

Hedging derivatives

 

Trading and banking book derivatives

 

 

2006

 

2007

 

2006

 

2007

 

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

Less than 3 months

 

63

 

123

 

45

 

138

 

471

 

749

 

316

 

508

3 months to 1 year

 

15

 

27

 

5

 

39

 

105

 

116

 

144

 

211

1 to 2 years

 

11

 

65

 

18

 

131

 

120

 

151

 

147

 

233

2 to 3 years

 

22

 

148

 

15

 

67

 

182

 

272

 

205

 

201

3 to 4 years

 

31

 

129

 

7

 

29

 

226

 

193

 

197

 

193

4 to 5 years

 

21

 

50

 

23

 

69

 

144

 

170

 

270

 

336

More than 5 years

 

322

 

416

 

308

 

400

 

2,041

 

1,965

 

4,148

 

3,911

 

 

485

 

958

 

421

 

873

 

3,289

 

3,616

 

5,427

 

5,593

Derivatives – classification by counterparties

The following table presents the positive and negative fair values of derivatives by counterparty.

Classification by counterparty

€m

 

2006

 

2007

 

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

 

Positive fair values

 

Negative fair values

Banks in OECD countries

 

3,699

 

4,457

 

5,720

 

6,132

Public institutions in OECD countries

 

17

 

26

 

 

Other counterparties in OECD countries

 

58

 

91

 

117

 

250

Counterparties outside the OECD

 

 

 

11

 

84

 

 

3,774

 

4,574

 

5,848

 

6,466

Fair values of financial instruments carried at amortised cost or at the hedged fair value

Fair values of financial instruments which are carried at amortised cost or at the hedged fair value are compared with the carrying amounts in the following table.

Carrying amounts/fair values

€m

 

2006

 

2007

 

 

Carrying amount

 

Fair value

 

Carrying amount

 

Fair value

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash reserve

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loans and advances to other banks
(loans and receivables)

 

1,015

 

1,015

 

3,352

 

3,352

Loans and advances to customers
(loans and receivables)

 

16,350

 

16,357

 

24,581

 

24,510

Loans and advances to customers
(held to maturity)

 

80,483

 

82,496

 

85,159

 

85,414

Allowance for losses
on loans and advances

 

518

 

518

 

456

 

456

Investment securities

 

–1,155

 

–1,155

 

–1,184

 

–1,184

(loans and receivables)

 

19,031

 

18,838

 

26,600

 

25,922

Investment securities (held to maturity)

 

4,956

 

5,025

 

730

 

731

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deposits from other banks

 

47,319

 

47,366

 

61,146

 

60,935

Due to customers

 

101,316

 

101,439

 

110,740

 

110,335

Securitised liabilities
and subordinated debt

 

20,934

 

21,019

 

15,161

 

14,753

A fair value is generally determined for all financial instruments. Exceptions are transactions due on demand and savings deposits with an agreed withdrawal notice of less than one year. If there is an active market for a financial instrument (e.g. stock exchange), the fair value is expressed by the market or quoted exchange price at the balance sheet date. If there is no active market, the fair value is determined by an established valuation technique. The valuation techniques used incorporate the major factors establishing a fair value for the financial instruments using valuation parameters which are the result of the market conditions at the balance sheet date. The cash flows used under the present value method are based on the contractual data of the financial instruments.