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Based on the half-year result and assuming that the global economy will not significantly worsen, the Group is maintaining its full-year guidance for 2008 and expects EBIT before non-recurring effects of around €4.1 billion. We anticipate a pre-tax profit of around €3.1 billion.

The divisional profit forecast has been adjusted. It now takes into account the new FORWARDING/FREIGHT and SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS divisions and their composition. The forecast also contains minor adjustments regarding future business prospects.

Even without the CIS business the MAIL Division is expected to record EBIT before non-recurring effects of around €1.95 billion. The EXPRESS Division should see around €0.4 billion EBIT before non-recurring effects. FORWARDING/FREIGHT is expected to see around €0.5 billion of EBIT before non-recurring effects; SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS is expected to contribute the same amount. The FINANCIAL SERVICES Division is still expected to record EBIT before non-recurring effects of around €1.2 billion. The result of the Corporate Center/Other unit is now expected to come in at €–0.5 billion. Our guidance for 2009 remains unchanged at EBIT before non-recurring effects of around €4.7 billion.

Profit forecast before non-recurring effects

€bn

 

2008

 

2009

Profit from operating activities (EBIT)

 

 

 

 

MAIL

 

≈ 1.95

 

1.7 to 1.9

EXPRESS

 

≈ 0.4

 

0.75 to 0.95

FORWARDING/FREIGHT

 

≈ 0.5

 

0.55 to 0.6

SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS

 

≈ 0.5

 

0.5 to 0.55

FINANCIAL SERVICES

 

≈ 1.2

 

min. 1.3

Corporate Center/Other

 

≈ –0.5

 

≈ –0.45

Group

 

≈ 4.1

 

≈ 4.7

Earnings before taxes (EBT)

 

≈ 3.1

 

≈ 3.8

Earnings per share (€)

 

1.65 to 1.69

 

2.05 to 2.15

Based on number of shares (millions)

 

1,209

 

1,211